Oct 282015
 

Fields are set for the 2015 Breeders Cup. For the next couple of days thoroughbred players behave like little kids before Christmas, waiting to see if Santa stuffs their stockings with Breeders’ Cup loot or a lump of Breeders’ Cup dung.

 

Phil’s recommendation for handicapping and betting the 2015 Breeders’ Cup races:

Cone of Silence


Nobody can give you wiser advice than yourself.
Marcus Tullius Cicero


Lexington Weather


Breeders’ Cup 2015 Program

Saturday

Official Program
DRF Quick Sheet


Tabarnak

We should have let them Eastern Bastards freeze in the dark.

Bloodhorse – LaMarra – Woodbine Hikes Takeout on Most BC Wagers

Phil knows where he’s wagering this weekend and it ain’t HPI or OTB.

Bodog


NY Times – Turkewitz – Wanted: Bison Herders for an Annual Roundup in Utah. Tenderfoots Welcome.


Mr. Soul


Every Indian outbreak that I have ever known has resulted from broken promises and broken treaties by the government.
Buffalo Bill


Thoroughbred Racing Commentary – Ehalt – American Pharoah: Ahmed Zayat speaks from the heart about his horse of a lifetime


Harper’s – Sullivan – Horseman Pass By


Once In A Lifetime


Bloodhorse – LaMarra – ‘Pharoah’ Team Reflects Before Final Race


Louisville Courier-Journal – Sullivan | Pharoah exits on a worthy stage


As long as the reason of man continues fallible, and he is at liberty to exercise it, different opinions will be formed.
James Madison

Carryovers

Saturday, October 31 2015

Belmont Park
Pick 6    $15,936.00
Del Mar
Super High Five     $13,212.00
Delta Downs
Super High Five     $465.00
Golden Gate Fields
Pick 6 Jackpot    $13,469.00
Gulfstream Park
West    Pick 5    $11,514.00
Pick 6 Jackpot    $7,370.00
Super High Five     $1,587.00
Hawthorne
Super High Five Jackpot    $28,705.00
Pick 6 Jackpot    $2,441.00
Indiana Grand Race Course
Pick 6    $4,765.00
Laurel Park
Pick 6    $1,192.00
Z-5 Super Hi-5     $448.00
Lone Star Park
Pick 6 Jackpot    $3,465.00
Los Alamitos
Pick 6    $2,559.00
Meadowlands
Pick 5    $1,735.00
Pick 6 Jackpot    $14,421.00
Turf Paradise
Pick 5    $1,186.00
Pick 6    $100.00
Woodbine
Super High Five Jackpot    $14,710.00

Guaranteed Pools

Equibase Carryovers and Guaranteed Pools


LA Times – Virbila – 6 Chiantis to drink now. Think wine for pizza, even Middle Eastern food


FiveThirtyEight – A FiveThirtyEight Debate: Who’s Going To Win The World Series?

Grantland – Lindbergh and Keri – World Series Preview: Five Keys to Victory for the Royals and the Mets


NY Times – Rohan – With Mets in World Series, the Wilpons Are Also Owning the Moment

Phil has a question:

Can the Wilpons get their buddy Bernie Madoff a day pass to attend the games in New York.


My advice to you is not to inquire why or whither, but just enjoy your ice cream while it’s on your plate.
Thornton Wilder


SportsNet – Davidi – Alex Anthopoulos leaving Blue Jays after rejecting extension


Darling Be Home Soon


Breeders’ Cup Simulcast

Broadcast live from Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Kentucky, this can’t miss event features 13 races over two days with purses totaling $24.5 million.

See the fastest thoroughbreds in the world televised live in the comfort of our Playbook Lounge!

Visit here for more information about Breeders’ Cup.

October 30, Post time 10:30 a.m. MST
October 31, Post time 9:00 a.m. MST*

*Northlands Park will open at 8:45 a.m. on October 31


Canadian Derby and British Columbia Derby winner Academic moves back to the distaff side on Saturday, but her task won’t be any easier as she’s facing older mares in the Maple Leaf at Woodbine on Saturday, October 31, 2015. Academic will be under the tutelage of Reade Baker with Justin Stein returning to the irons.

Bloodhorse – Balan – Academic Back at Woodbine for Maple Leaf


LA Times – Zieralski – Del Mar begins second fall meeting Thursday


Bloodhorse – Thoroughbred Makeover Called a Success


Politeness and civility are the best capital ever invested in business. Large stores, gilt signs, flaming advertisements, will all prove unavailing if you or your employees treat your patrons abruptly. The truth is, the more kind and liberal a man is, the more generous will be the patronage bestowed upon him.
P. T. Barnum


NY Times – Pedulla – Keeneland Brings Breeders’ Cup to Heart of Horse Country


ESPN – Duckworth – Home at Keeneland


Lady and the Track -Macatangay – The Party Begins Thursday With Prelude To The Cup


Lady and the Track – Park – Breeders’ Cup Travel Tips: What to Pack!


Louisville Courier-Journal – Lintner – Ky. supporting BC ‘like no community ever has’


TwinSpires Blog – Breeders’ Cup News & Notes


Thoroughbred Racing Commentary – Roberts and Taylor – Glorious in Japan, run out of Russia, broke in the U.S. – the chequered past of the founder of Keeneland


TwinSpires Blog – Reilly – My morning at Keeneland, starring American Pharoah and Golden Horn 


Kentucky Bourbon Trail Craft Tour


Bloodhorse – BC Day 1: Record Crowd, Slight Handle Drop


Bloodhorse – Hughes – Sophie Doyle Gets BC Opportunity on Fioretti


ESPN – Duckworth – International intrigue


Thoroughbred Racing Commentary – Rowlands – Golden Horn and Legatissimo stand out, but Europe’s Breeders’ Cup chances don’t end there


TwinSpires Blog – Final European contingent arrived Monday night; Golden Horn visits Keeneland training track on Tuesday

Bloodhorse – Mitchell – Ramseys Hold Key to Pace in Turf

Bloodhorse – Mitchell – Golden Horn Clears Quarantine and Canters

The Guardian – Wood – Soft ground at Keeneland could sink Golden Horn’s Breeders’ Cup chance

ESPN – Finley – Can Golden Horn end Arc jinx?

Bloodhorse – Mitchell – The Pizza Man Ups His Game


Bloodhorse – Keeneland Open for BC Training Oct. 29


2016 Road to the Kentucky Derby

The 142nd running of the $2 million guaranteed Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (Grade I) will be run Saturday, May 7, 2016, and for the fourth consecutive year, a tiered point system in select races will determine who qualifies to America’s greatest race.
Race    Track    Date    Points
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Keeneland Oct 31, 2015 20-8-4-2
Delta Downs Jackpot Delta Downs Nov 21, 2015 10-4-2-1
Remsen Aqueduct Nov 28, 2015 10-4-2-1
Kentucky Jockey Club Churchill Downs Nov 28, 2015 10-4-2-1
Los Alamitos Futurity Los Alamitos Race Course Dec 19, 2015 10-4-2-1
Jerome Aqueduct Jan 9, 2016 10-4-2-1
Sham Santa Anita Park Jan 16, 2016 10-4-2-1
Smarty Jones Oaklawn Park Jan 18, 2016 10-4-2-1
Holy Bull Gulfstream Park Jan 30, 2016 10-4-2-1
Withers Aqueduct Feb 13, 2016 10-4-2-1
Robert B. Lewis Santa Anita Park Feb 13, 2016 10-4-2-1
Southwest Oaklawn Park Feb 15, 2016 10-4-2-1
El Camino Real Derby Golden Gate Fields Feb 20, 2016 10-4-2-1
Fountain of Youth Gulfstream Park Feb 27, 2016 50-20-10-5
Risen Star Fair Grounds Feb 27, 2016 50-20-10-5
Gotham Aqueduct Mar 12, 2016 50-20-10-5
Tampa Bay Derby Tampa Bay Downs Mar 12, 2016 50-20-10-5
San Felipe Santa Anita Park Mar 12, 2016 50-20-10-5
Rebel Oaklawn Park Mar 19, 2016 50-20-10-5
Sunland Derby Sunland Park Mar 20, 2016 50-20-10-5
Spiral Turfway Park Mar 26, 2016 50-20-10-5
UAE Derby Meydan Racecourse Mar 26, 2016 100-40-20-10
Florida Derby Gulfstream Park Apr 2, 2016 100-40-20-10
Louisiana Derby Fair Grounds Apr 2, 2016 100-40-20-10
Wood Memorial Aqueduct Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Blue Grass Keeneland Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Santa Anita Derby Santa Anita Park Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Arkansas Derby Oaklawn Park Apr 16, 2016 100-40-20-10
Lexington Keeneland Apr 16, 2016 10-4-2-1


Louisville Courier-Journal – Owner wins big betting on Keith Desormeaux


TwinSpires Blog – DeRosa – How DeRosa Will Win Money Betting the Breeders’ Cup at TwinSpires.com 


Lady and the Track – Smith – Breeders’ Cup Horses for Beginners to Watch

Phil has a question:

Does she mean watch as in what you do with a television or watch as in pound them if the odds are right.


The Breeder’s Cup features 13 evenly matched horse races, four Friday, the rest Saturday. It’s the evenly matched part that makes the task of looking for winners so difficult, because even though the losers pay the winners in the pari-mutuel form of gambling, you never get as much as you deserve after picking a winner from a gate full of near-equals.

ESPN – Cronley – Bring on the luck


Lady and The Track – Keeneland Breeders’ Cup Results and Replays Day One


Lady and the Track – LATT Team Picks for Breeders’ Cup Saturday

Lady and The Track – LATT Team Picks for Breeders’ Cup Friday


ESPN – Cronley – Friday’s Cup selection

ESPN – Cronley – Favorite days


TwinSpires Blog – Breeders’ Cup Saturday Best Longshot

TwinSpires Blog – Breeders’ Cup Saturday Best Bet

TwinSpires Blog – Hanson – Breeders’ Cup Friday Best Longshot

TwinSpires Blog – Hanson – Breeders’ Cup Friday Best Bet


Bloodhorse – Hangin With Haskin – Breeders’ Cup Friday Analysis: Let The Fun Begin

Bloodhorse – Hangin With Haskin – BC Saturday Longshots: Can U.S. Stop Euro Onslaught?


Horse Race Insider – Jicha – Betting strategy is key to BC


Bloodhorse – Keeler Johnson’s Breeders’ Cup Selections


Lady and the Track – Mendoza – Breeders’ Cup 2015 Picks and Plays


ESPN – West – Handicapping Day 1 of the Cup

ESPN – West – Handicapping Day 2 of the Cup


Louisville Courier-Journal – Downey Profile | Bevy of favorites draw wide


Louisville Courier-Journal – Lintner – Breeders’ Cup | Expert Keeneland Friday picks

Louisville Courier-Journal – Battaglia’s picks for Breeders’ Cup Saturday


ESPN – Ehalt – Too good and quiet


This Is Horse Racing – 2015 Breeders’ Cup Saturday picks


2016 Road to the Kentucky Oaks

Race    Track    Date      Points
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies    Keeneland Oct 31, 2015 20-8-4-2
Delta Downs Princess    Delta Downs Nov 21, 2015 10-4-2-1
Demoiselle    Aqueduct Nov 28, 2015 10-4-2-1
Golden Rod    Churchill Downs Nov 28, 2015 10-4-2-1
Starlet    Los Alamitos Race Course Dec 12, 2015 10-4-2-1
Santa Ynez    Santa Anita Park Jan 9, 2016 10-4-2-1
Busanda    Aqueduct Jan 16, 2016 10-4-2-1
Silverbulletday    Fair Grounds Jan 23, 2016 10-4-2-1
Forward Gal    Gulfstream Park Jan 30, 2016 10-4-2-1
Martha Washington    Oaklawn Park Feb 6, 2016 10-4-2-1
Las Virgenes    Santa Anita Park Feb 6, 2016 10-4-2-1
UAE Oaks    Meydan Racecourse Feb 25, 2016 50-20-10-5
Busher    Aqueduct Feb 27, 2016 50-20-10-5
Davona Dale    Gulfstream Park Feb 27, 2016 50-20-10-5
Rachel Alexandra   Fair Grounds Feb 27, 2016 50-20-10-5
Santa Ysabel    Santa Anita Park Mar 5, 2016 50-20-10-5
Honeybee    Oaklawn Park Mar 12, 2016 50-20-10-5
Sunland Park Oaks    Sunland Park Mar 20, 2016 50-20-10-5
Bourbonette Oaks    Turfway Park Mar 26, 2016 50-20-10-5
Gulfstream Park Oaks    Gulfstream Park Apr 2, 2016 100-40-20-10
Fair Grounds Oaks    Fair Grounds Apr 2, 2016 100-40-20-10
Santa Anita Oaks    Santa Anita Park Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Gazelle    Aqueduct Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Ashland   Keeneland Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Fantasy    Oaklawn Park Apr 9, 2016 100-40-20-10
Beaumont    Keeneland Apr 17, 2016 10-4-2-1


TwinSpires Blog

Breeders’ Cup Saturday Previews

·       Classic

·       Turf

·       Mile

·       Filly & Mare Turf

·       Juvenile

·       Juvenile Fillies

·       TwinSpires Sprint

·       TwinSpires Filly & Mare Sprint

·       TwinSpires Turf Sprint

 

Breeders’ Cup Friday Recaps

·       Stopchargingmaria rings up Breeders’ Cup Distaff win

·       Catch a Glimpse can’t be caught in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

·       Liam’s Map far ahead of BC Dirt Mile class

·       Hit It a Bomb nails Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf for Aidan O’Brien


TwinSpires Blog – Breeders’ Cup Friday: Post positions & morning line odds


TwinSpires Blog – Breeders’ Cup Saturday: Post positions & morning line odds


Horse Racing Nation – Tamulonis – Breeders’ Cup Classic 2015: Winners and Losers of the Draw


“We would like to run more racing days,” Kentucky Downs president Corey Johnsen said after the commission meeting. “But we also know we’re not in a vacuum. We need to work together with the other tracks. I think after September 2016 we’ll see if some of the different things we’ve tried will work or not.”

Bloodhorse – LaMarra – Kentucky Downs, Churchill Agree on Dates


TwinSpires Blog – Churchill Downs kicks off 21-day Fall Meet on Sunday 


Bloodhorse – Southern Hospitality Meets Breeders’ Cup – by Eric Mitchell


awards dinner 2015


Horse Race Insider – Pricci – 2015 Classic Goes to the Best Horse on the Day


Louisville Courier-Journal – Lintner – Smoother roller scratched from Breeders’ Cup

TDN – Beholder Out of Breeders’ Cup

NY Times – Pedulla – Beholder, Expected to Challenge American Pharoah, Scratched From Breeders’ Cup
TwinSpires Blog – DeRosa – What Beholder’s scratch means for odds, handle, and the Breeders’ Cup Classic’s legacy


Louisville Courier-Journal – Rees – Dyslexia doesn’t slow Keen Ice trainer Romans


Bloodhorse – Angst – McGaughey Targets Elusive Win with Honor Code


Bloodhorse – Hangin With Haskin –  Classic Analysis: Tonalist Still the Bet…But


Bloodhorse – Angst – American Pharoah Aims to Thrill One Last Time

NY Times – Hoppert – As American Pharoah Prepares for Breeders’ Cup, His Team Faces a Farewell

NY Times – Drape and Hoppert – Breeders’ Cup Classic 2015 Picks

Racing Post – Lees – Baffert unimpressed as rider lets Pharoah loose

Bloodhorse – Angst – Tonalist Breeders Await Second Breeders’ Cup

Bloodhorse – Angst – Another Coolmore Classic Try With Gleneagles

Bloodhorse – Angst – American Pharoah Arrives at Keeneland

Bloodhorse – Angst – Espinoza Ready for American Pharoah’s Return

LA Times – Sondheimer – American Pharoah installed as the 6-5 favorite in Breeders’ Cup Classic

Bloodhorse – American Pharoah, Beholder Set for History

ESPN – Ehalt – Frosted won’t let Classic pace undo him

ESPN – Ehalt – Tonalist hits the road again

ESPN – Ehalt – Pharoah bows out in ‘race for the ages’

Lady and the Track – Laughter – American Pharoah Brings Triple Crown Success to Classic

Bloodhorse – Novak – Honor Code Leads Classic Contenders to Track


Desperado


TwinSpires Blog – Whatever happens in BC Classic, American Pharoah should be Horse of the Year 


Bloodhorse – LaMarra – ‘Pharoah’ Developers Honored in Florida


This Weekend’s Stakes

October 29
Keeneland
Lafayette Presented by Keeneland Select $100,000 3&up 7f Dirt

October 30
Belmont Park
Awad Stake $100,000 2yo 8f Turf
Turnback the Alarm Handicap GIII $200,000 3&up Fillies & Mares 8.5f Dirt
Delta Downs
Magnolia Stake $100,000 3&up Fillies & Mares State/Prov 8f Dirt
Keeneland
Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile GI $1,000,000 3&up 8f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Distaff GI $2,000,000 3&up Fillies & Mares 9f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf GI $1,000,000 2yo Fillies 8f Turf
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf GI $1,000,000 2yo Colts & Geldings 8f Turf
Bryan Station Stake $100,000 3yo 9f Turf
Hagyard Fayette Stake GII $200,000 3&up 9f Dirt
Marathon Stake GII $200,000 3&up 14f Dirt

October 31
Belmont Park
Bold Ruler GIII $200,000 3&up 7f Dirt
Chelsey Flower Stake $100,000 2yo Fillies 8f Turf
Charles Town
Tri-State Futurity $50,000 2yo R 7f Dirt
Delta Downs
Gold Cup $100,000 3&up State/Prov 8f Dirt
Gulfstream Park West
Cellars Shiraz Stake $75,000 3yo Fillies 8f Turf
Showing Up Stake $75,000 3yo 8f Turf
Indiana Grand Race Course
Frances Slocum Stake $150,000 3&up Fillies & Mares State/Prov 8.5f Dirt
Indiana Futurity $85,000 2yo State/Prov 8.32f Dirt
Miss Indiana Stake $85,000 2yo Fillies State/Prov 8.32f Dirt
Too Much Coffee Stake $150,000 3&up State/Prov 8.5f Dirt
Japan Racing Association
Artemis Stake GIII $504,000 2yo Fillies 8f Turf
Swan Stake GII $1,030,000 3&up 7f Turf
Keeneland
Breeders’ Cup Classic GI $5,000,000 3&up 10f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint GI $1,000,000 3&up Fillies & Mares 7f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf GI $2,000,000 3&up Fillies & Mares 9.5f Turf
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile GI $2,000,000 2yo Colts & Geldings 8.5f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies GI $2,000,000 2yo Fillies 8.5f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Mile GI $2,000,000 3&up 8f Turf
Breeders’ Cup Sprint GI $1,500,000 3&up 6f Dirt
Breeders’ Cup Turf GI $3,000,000 3&up 12f Turf
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint GI $1,000,000 3&up 5.5f Turf
Fort Springs $100,000 3yo Fillies 6f Dirt
Juvenile Dirt Sprint $100,000 2yo 6f Dirt
Perryville Stake $100,000 3yo 6f Dirt
Laurel Park
Laurel Turf Cup (L) $100,000 3&up 12f Turf
Mahoning Valley Racecourse
Cardinal handicap $75,000 3&up State/Prov 6f Dirt
Emerald Necklace Stake $75,000 2yo Fillies State/Prov 6f Dirt
Woodbine
Maple Leaf Stake Can – III $150,000 3&up Fillies & Mares 10f AW
November 1
Belmont Park
Pumpkin Pie Stake $100,000 3&up Fillies & Mares 6f Dirt
Churchill Downs
*Rags to Riches Stake $60,000 2yo Fillies 8f Dirt
*Street Sense Stake $60,000 2yo 8f Dirt
Golden Gate Fields
Pike Place Dancer $75,000 2yo Fillies 8f Turf
Japan Racing Association
Tenno Sho Autumn GI $2,721,000 3&up 10f Turf
Turf Paradise
A.T.B.A. Fall Sales Stake $35,000 2yo Colts & Geldings R 6f Dirt
A.T.B.A. Fall Sales Stake $35,000 2yo Fillies R 6f Dirt
Unionville
Pennsylvania Hunt Cup $35,000 5&up 32f Turf
Woodbine
Princess Elizabeth Stake $250,000 2yo Fillies R 8.5f AW
Zia Park
New Mexico Classic Cup Derby Championship $140,000 3yo Colts & Geldings State/Prov 6f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Filly & Mare Sprint Championship $140,000 3&up Fillies & Mares State/Prov 6f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Juvenile Championship $140,000 2yo Colts & Geldings State/Prov 6f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Lassie Championship $140,000 2yo Fillies State/Prov 6f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Oaks Championship $140,000 3yo Fillies State/Prov 6f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Peppers Pride Championship $170,000 3&up Fillies & Mares State/Prov 8f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Rocky Gulch Championship $180,000 3&up State/Prov 8f Dirt
New Mexico Classic Cup Sprint Championship $170,000 3&up State/Prov 6f Dirt

November 2
Zia Park
Veterans Stake $55,000 3&up 8.5f Dirt

November 4
Woodbine
Frost King Stake $125,000 2yo State/Prov 7f AW


TDN – Stopchargingmaria Survives Inquiry in Distaff

Town and Country Farms’ Stopchargingmaria drifted out in the stretch, leading to a stewards’ inquiry and objection after the race. The stewards ruled there was insufficient evidence to change the order of finish.

Bloodhorse – Stopchargingmaria Prevails with Distaff Win

Phil appreciates that the Keeneland stewards had enough laissez faire sense to leave the result on the track stand.


Let It Be


Horse Race Insider – Pricci – Distaff Favorite? Not This Time

Lady and the Track – Ward – Stellar Field Set for 2015 Breeders’ Cup Distaff

Bloodhorse – Shulman – Wedding Toast a Family Affair

TwinSpires Blog – Untapable out of Breeders’ Cup Distaff

Bloodhorse – Shulman – Wedding Toast Heads Contentious Distaff Field

Bloodhorse – Grays Sitting on Go With I’m a Chatterbox

Bloodhorse – Caldwell – Breeders’ Cup Distaff Preview


Horse Race Insider – Pricci – For This Filly, It’s Better to Be Good AND Lucky


Bloodhorse – LaMarra – Nyquist Has Draw to Overcome in Juvenile

TwinSpires Blog – Scully – Tough post for Nyquist, Liam’s Map starts in a favorable position

Bloodhorse – Hammonds – Cocked and Loaded’s Breeders Hit Bulls-Eye


ESPN – Ehalt – ‘Map’ steers Violas to Dirt Mile, not Classic

Liam’s Map is usually a front-runner, but he was stuck back in the pack before rallying to wear down pacesetter Lea. Red Vine was another 3 1/4 lengths back in third.

LA Times – Liam’s Map wins Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile in record time at Keeneland

TDN – Slow Start, Fast Finish for Liam’s Map in Dirt Mile

Bloodhorse – Angst – Liam’s Map Rallies to Dirt Mile Win


TwinSpires Blog – Caldwell – Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Preview


TDN – ‘Moore’ of the Same

Bloodhorse – Lamarra – Hit It a Bomb Explodes, Takes Juvenile Turf


TwinSpires Blog – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Preview


Bloodhorse – Hammonds – BC Euro Cymric Has Local Ties


Thoroughbred Racing Commentary – Ehalt – Is the BC Juvenile the kiss of death for a horse’s Triple Crown chances?


 

From the Derby Bar and Grill Newsletter

RAILBIRD NOTES

RAILBIRD NOTES BY GLEN TODD

BY GLEN TODD

HASTINGS SEASON FINAL STATS

Sunday’s nine race card brought the end of the 2015 Live Racing season at Hastings Racecourse.

The season certainly ended on a high note with the wagering totaling $968,504.00 and that was the fourth best wagering day of the 2015 season.

In total we ran 404 races with a total of 2797 horses for an average of 6.92 horses per race which was slightly higher then 2014.  There was a total of 360 overnight races and 44 stakes races.

The average daily payout of purses totaled $150,347.32 and a 53 day total of  $7,968,408.00.

The average overnight purse was $14,440.00 per race in which $1533.00 was paid to BC Breds and $148.99 per race to 6-12 finishers.

The total handle for 53 days of racing was $29,760,481.91 and that was $3,825,065.00 ahead of the total for 53 days in 2014.

WINTERING PROGRAM A COMPLETE SUCCESS

The wintering program put in place in the fall of 2014 was a complete success as owners received a total of $246,000.00.  So a total of 123 horses returning to race at Hastings who had made there last start at Hastings in 2014 and made their 1st start for claiming price of $4000.00 all received $2000.00.

That same program is back for 2016 as well.

DERBY NEWSLETTER

Personally I would like thank all of the contributor’s to our newsletter throughout the season.

First of all to Lisa Thompson. Jackie Humber and Patti Tubbs who provided us with so many pictures from opening day of spring training right up to the very last race on Sunday. Thank you ladies for all of your great work.

To Richard Yates who provided all of us the daily wrap-up from Hastings and Richard you did a fantastic job for us all.

Mike Heads gave us the daily preview of the feature race each, Mike thanks a million.

Drew Forster and Mike Heads gave us the Derby picks each racing day and from what I was told Drew finished first for the season over all of the local handicappers.

Mike and Drew also produced the Handicappers Corner for season that could be found on the Derby Bar and Grill website each week.

A special thanks to all of you.

CATEGORY 2014 2015 Plus-Minus Plus-Minus
      Total %
Number of Horses 558 558 0 0%
Number of Trainers 86 86 0 0%
Number of Owners 349 366 17 5%
Number of Starters 2737 2797 60 2%
Average Start Per Horse 4.91 5.01 0.103 2%
Total Handle  $  25,935,416  $    29,760,482  $       3,825,066 13%
Number of Races 404 404 0 0%
On track Handle  $    6,856,403  $      6,707,707  $         (148,696) -2%
Off-Tracks 8 7 -1 -14%
Racing Days 53 53 0 0%
O-Nite Purses  $    5,484,229  $      5,198,408  $         (285,821) -5%
Stake Race Totals  $    2,389,000  $      2,770,000  $          381,000 14%
Total Purse Payouts  $    7,873,229  $      7,968,408  $            95,179 1%
Average O/N Payout  $          14,961  $           14,440  $                (521) -4%
BC Bred Bonus  $       544,916  $         552,003  $               7,087 1%
6-12 Finishers  $       215,964  $           53,405  $         (162,559) -304%
Ship N Win  $          53,275  $           38,833  $     (14,442.00) -37%
Nomination Fees  $       687,800  $         725,650  $       37,850.00 5%
Sponsorships  $       133,000  $         225,000  $       92,000.00 41%
Avg Purse Payout/Daily  $  145,800.00  $    150,347.00  $         4,547.00 3%
Avg Starters Stake Races 6.67 7 0.33 5%
Avg Starters per Race 6.77 6.92 0.15 2%

 

HASTINGS NEWS BY GREG DOUGLAS

Hastings News by Greg Douglas

 


TDN – No ‘Catching’ City Zip Miss in Juvenile Fillies Turf

Bloodhorse – Novak – Catch a Glimpse Gives Casse First BC Win


 

Bloodhorse – Lewyn – Illuminate, Harmonize to Meet in Fillies Turf


TwinSpires Blog – Caldwell – Profiles on Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Field

TwinSpires Blog – Caldwell – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview


Bloodhorse – Sapphire Kitten ‘Dream Come True’ for Sharp


Bloodhorse – Hammonds – Phillips’ Luck: Pair Draws In from AE


MKT15-167 Peters Pumpkin Patch_Web Square


Butterfly With Bullet Wings


The Horse – Thunes – Can Horses Eat Pumpkin?


INDIAN CHARLIE WORLDWIDE - We Never Let the Truth Get In The Way Of A Good Story


ESPN – Duckworth – Like mother, like daughter

Bloodhorse – Balan – Songbird vs. ‘Valentina’ in Juvenile Fillies

Bloodhorse – Hall – Rachel’s Valentina Adding to Family History


ESPN – West – Seeking signature victory, trainer Mark Casse brings six-pack to Keeneland for Breeders’ Cup


Giving horseplayers a voice.


Bloodhorse – Novak – Girls Take on Boys in Loaded BC Mile

Bloodhorse – Novak – Obviously a Sentimental Runner for BC Mile


TwinSpires Blog – DeRosa – Breeders’ Cup Betting Strategies: RAIL Against the Machine


If it’s free, it’s advice; if you pay for it, it’s counseling; if you can use either one, it’s a miracle.
Jack Adams



Tomorrow’s Breeders’ Cup races: Race 6 Juvenile Turf; race 7 Dirt Mile; race 8 Juvenile Fillies Turf; race 9 Distaff.
Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup races:  Race 3 Juvenile Fillies; race 4 Turf Sprint; race 5 Filly & Mare Sprint; race 6 Filly & Mare Turf; race 7 Sprint; race 8 Mile; race 9 Juvenile; race 10 Turf; race 11 Classic.
First post at Keeneland tomorrow:  11:30 a.m. (central)
First post Saturday:  10 a.m.

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
EXCITING FREE BETS & BONUSES
BETWEEN NOON AND 3 PM TOMORROW: Free $10 wager/5,000 points
To add to Breeders’ Cup excitement, Assiniboia Downs will give you a free $10 wagering voucher and 5,000 free Player Rewards points tomorrow.  Just present your Player Rewards card at the horseshoe kiosk in the Clubhouse between noon and 3 p.m.
BETWEEN NOON AND 3 PM SATURDAY: Free $10 wager/5,000 points
Receive a free $10 betting voucher and 5,000 Player Rewards points Saturday just by presenting your Player Rewards card at the horseshoe kiosk between noon and 3 p.m.
BETTING BONUSES TO CONTINUE IN NOVEMBER! Great news! Assiniboia Downs’ cash-back program continues right to the end of November.  Which means all your bets throughout the Breeders’ Cup and onward could result in up to five per cent cash deposited into your account each Friday.  See the bonus levels here.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

GROUP PLAY You’re invited–Saturday morning 9:30 a.m.
Margaret will add $5 to each $20 share

You’re invited to come down to the lower-level Finish Line banquet hall Saturday morning at 9:30 a.m. where the nine Breeders’ Cup races worth $20 million will be discussed and group tickets on pick-4s, pick-5 and pick-6 will be constructed. The biggest win at a Saturday morning session has been a pick-6 worth $10,000.  The goal this Saturday is–with everyone’s input–to exceed this amount.  Each of your $20 shares in the tickets will be topped up by an ASD contribution of $5.  Refreshments served.  Boxing glove rental available.

WEAR SOMETHING “HALLOWEENISH!” 

If you wear something “Halloweenish” to the Breeders’ Cup workshop, you will receive a surprise gift!
BETTING Minimum bets as low as 20-cents.  Play pick-6 for $1
• NO CHANGES have been made to the usual minimum wagers at Keeneland.
There will continue to be 60-cent pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s and triactors and 20-cent
superfectas.
• ULTRA PICK-6 combinations will cost $1 each.  The pick-6 Friday starts in race 5;
Saturday it starts in race 6 and ends with the Classic
• ADVANCE WAGERING for ALL Breeders’ Cup races begins Friday 11 a.m.
• MANDATORY PAYOUTS: The pick-5, pick-6 and Super Hi 5 wagering pools may
carry over from Friday to Saturday but Saturday will be a mandatory payout day for
those wagers
• SPECIAL DOUBLE:  You may wager a DOUBLE combining the Distaff on Friday
with the Classic on Saturday
THE BIGGEST BUZZ Will the mare beat the colt?

 

           American Pharoah  Oaklawn/Coady photo
                           Beholder                 Benoit photo
Original Beholder

In the $5 million Classic Saturday, two-time champion mare Beholder will attempt to beat Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, something that the mare, Zenyatta, couldn’t do in 2010 when 3-year-old colt, Blame, held on to win the Classic (watch that race below).  Honor Code is working brilliantly and may upset them both.

(FYI:  The original Beholder was the fictional monster in Dungeons and Dragons.)

WHO’S GONNA WIN? “Rule” horses for those who care
You gotta love horseplayers. If The Insider predicted the sun would rise in the east all this weekend, I think there would be some who would say:  “Not this time.”  That’s just the way horseplayers are.  They’re contrarians.  So, despite the fact that a certain rule has picked Breeders’ Cup turf winners year after year (as you have read in this column over the years), I’m sure many of you will simply gloss over this list.  Not to worry.  It leaves more money in the pool for others.
(The rule, as you have read many times, is that in Breeders’ Cup turf route races, play horses that have raced for the highest purses. A $2 box on the top three in last year’s turf Mile, for example, resulted in an exactor that paid $633. One caveat is to discount horses that have raced in $1 million races in North America.)
FRIDAY:
Race 6: Juvenile Turf — #13 Cymric, #4 Shogun, #6 Birchwood
Race 8:  Juvenile Fillies Turf — #3 Alice Springs, #10 Illuminate
SATURDAY:
Race 6:  Filly & Mare Turf — #3 Legatissimo, #6 Queen’s Jewel, #10 Bawina
Race 8:  Mile — #12 Time Test, #9 Esoterique, #3 Make Believe
Race 10:  Turf — #1 Golden Horn, #9 Found
CLOCKER TIPS:  Listening to DRF clocker Mike Welsch‘s reports here will point to horses he has really been impressed with.  One of those is #4 Stopchargingmaria in Friday’s Distaff (race 9).  If you’re serious about being full informed, these reports are a must.
SOUVENIR GIVEAWAYS

 

Enter your name into the draw at the Downs and at OTBs Saturday afternoon to win very handsome Breeders’ Cup merchandise collections. Don’t you love the toque?
CAPS AND TOQUES FOR SALE:  A limited number of BC caps and toques will be available for sale at the horseshoe kiosk in the Clubhouse Saturday afternoon at $20 each.
ADDED FUN Enjoy brunch and play in the tourney (or not)
• BREEDERS’ CUP BRUNCH:  From 11:30 a.m. to 3:30 p.m.  $19.95.  You may
reserve for the dining room (204-885-3330) or grab a plate and enjoy the brunch in your
carrel or other table
• PLAYER’S CHOICE TOURNEY:  Pick your day to enter the next Player’s Choice
tournament–either Oct. 31 or Nov. 7–and sign up by 9 p.m. tomorrow.  (You have until next
Friday to sign up for the Nov. 7 round.) Entry fee is $25. Prize money is $850 plus points
toward Handicapper of the Year.
• WEAR SOMETHING HALLOWEENISH to the 9:30 a.m. workshop and receive a
surprise gift!
Winning starts here
10 ways to survive (thrive?)
1.  Have a plan
2.  Use rules that have worked in past Breeders’ Cups (see above)
3.  Play other favourite track(s) to offset BC losses
4.  Remember the South Dakota jeweler who spent $8 to win $2.7 million in the 2003 ‘Cup?
It CAN be done
5.  Even though you’re thoroughly in-the-know, attending the 9:30 a.m. seminar might just
provide an “aha” moment
6.  Use common sense:  For example, North American horses are dirt specialists;
Europeans, grass
7.  Consider a five-race show parlay.  Pre-pick your horses; don’t chicken out
Lawyer Gerry Spence
“Give yourself permission to win”

8.  Remember that betting pools are inflated with “dumb” money from
infrequent players. Consider it your DUTY to capitalize.

9.  If you “love” a race, pre-bet it so you don’t get to the race with
diminished funds
10. Banish thoughts of unworthiness and give yourself permission
     to be a winner in the spirit of semi-retired California lawyer
     Gerry Spence, 86, who applied “give yourself permission” to jury
addresses, both as a prosecutor and defense attorney, and
     never lost a case.  (He describes the “give yourself permission”
concept in his 1995 book,  How to Argue and Win Every Time.
You might have seen this lawyer with his long hair and buckskin
jacket giving commentary on CNN during the OJ trial.)  Say to
yourself:  “I give myself permission to do what it takes to be a
winner.”  
I think you’ll find it empowering.
A PARTING CLASSIC MOMENT:  Re-live the Zenyatta/Blame Breeders’ Cup Classic here.  Will the mare, Beholder, do what Zenyatta just failed to do?

POST BREEDERS’ CUP
Melbourne Cup Monday, new pasta bar Thursdays

Monday features Australia’s biggest day of racing highlighted by the Melbourne Cup (actually, Tuesday in Australia) with the first post at 5 p.m.  The Melbourne Cup goes about 10 p.m.  Note there are 20-cent pick-3, pick-4 and superfecta wagers and giant pools.  And, beginning Thursday, the weekly prime rib buffet will include the return of a classy pasta bar, something diners have been asking for.  Reserve at 204-885-3330.

CLICK TO ENLARGE

Who needs Breeders’ Cup luck?  Not you.

Just give yourself permission to win!


Bloodhorse – Half to Mastercraftsman Tops at Tattersalls


TDN – Fasig Date for Embellish the Lace

Hip 175 – Embellish The Lace


TDN – Caulfield – Pedigree Insights: Marcel


TwinSpires Blog – Reilly – Breeders’ Cup sires to watch

TwinSpires Blog -Reilly – Pedigree fun facts for 2015 Breeders’ Cup


Bloodhorse – Lane’s End Buys Interest in Liam’s Map


Bloodhorse – Mare in Foal to Uncle Mo Tops Louisiana Sale


TwinSpires Blog – Our favorite Breeders’ Cup moment


Maker's Mark Plans Breeders' Cup Bottles

Let’s raise a glass.
And $1 Million for Charity.

Join Breeders’ Cup and Maker’s Mark® in our goal to raise $1 Million over the next three years to support a variety of deserving local and thoroughbred industry charities. Breeders’ Cup and Maker’s Mark® have collaborated on a limited-edition, five-bottle collection featuring a few of the most legendary champions in Breeders’ Cup history. Each bottle pays tribute with a customized design and signature from each Champion’s connections.

This is an extremely limited offer, as only 500 bottles were made for each Champion. Don’t miss your chance to savor the memories of these past champions while helping the local community.

Through your donation you will be granted access to participate in the exclusive commemorative bottle auction which will take place at Keeneland on Thursday, October 29. This event will be the only opportunity to collect the first three bottles of the series. No reserve will be placed on the bottles up for auction.

Champions for Charity event tickets are required, click here to learn more.


This is Horse Racing – Grand Arch right at home


This is Horse Racing – Limousine Liberal gets plenty of looks


Bloodhorse – Mitchell – No Silent First BC Starter for Californians


LA Times – Dwyre – Breeders’ Cup notes: Runhappy has made his trainer happy


TwinSpires Blog – Minnesota Man wins $10,000 Breeders’ Cup Classic bet, VIP trip to Keeneland


ESPN – West Welker & Vince Viola


Lady and the Track – Mendoza – Top Five Shocking Losses in Breeders’ Cup History


Bloodhorse – Balan – El Kabeir Makes Return in Bold Ruler ‘Cap


Bloodhorse – Living The Life Back on Grass in Goldikova


Witchy Woman


The Age – Lynch – Spring racing 2015: Something rotten in the state of racing? Lurid events suggest it is so


Herald Sun – Kaila, Buttler and Nicholson – Police investigate shooting at home of Racing Victoria chief steward Terry Bailey


NY Times – Macur – Youth Sports Again Take a Hit, This Time With Real Bullets


Herald Sun – Stewart – Blinkers Off: Spring carnival crowds on the decline in worrying trend


NY Times – Hauser – Prized Horse Is Led Out of Stall and Butchered in Florida


LA Times – Glionna – Animal advocates outraged that nearly 1,800 wild horses went to slaughter


This Is Horse Racing – Bradester aims to transfer Jersey form


The Guardian – Wood – Offshore initiative could help racing and betting sort out old differences


Lady and the Track – Park – Breeders’ Cup Instagram Tips and Tricks


TDN – One ‘Mo’ Winner for Leading Freshman Sire


TDN – Oppenheim – The Name You Know: Uncle Mo


Grantland – Anderson – Blades of Glory


Log Drivers’ Waltz


LA Times – Hennigan – Northrop Grumman wins $60-billion Air Force contract to build new stealth bomber


National Post – Jane Macdougall: Forget Bond Girls, we have a Bond Woman in Monica Bellucci


Phil’s Drink and A Flick

Thai Boxer

The Harder They Fall

Lonely Bull


Esquire – Jake LaMotta: What I’ve Learned


LA Times – Makinen – Did a Chinese casino really just pay $70 million for a 15-minute Martin Scorsese film?


NY Times – Ruiz – N.B.A. Cheerleaders’ New Rallying Cry: Better Pay


LA Times – Healy – Hot dogs, bacon and other processed meats increase risk of cancer, scientists say

National Post – Tucker – Cancer or no, is it really all that controversial to say you shouldn’t gorge yourself on bacon and hot dogs?


LA Times – Schillinger – If bacon is so bad, I don’t want to live


The Globe and Mail – Reichert – Beer, bourbon and bacon: Welcome to the candy revolution


The gaunt, unhealthy vegan is the muffin vegan. Bread and fries and processed veggie dogs. It’s like, ‘Hello? Did you eat your vegetables?’
Kris Carr

ESPN – Redskins’ Pierre Garcon sues FanDuel on behalf of NFL players


You better cut the pizza in four pieces because I’m not hungry enough to eat six.

Yogi Berra


Zombie

 


Phil M Stockmen

  One Response to “2015 Breeders Cup Weekend Preview”

  1. FOREST CITY YEARLING SALE RESULTS POSITIVE SIGNS FOR HARNESS RACING

    Mucka attended the recent yearling harness sale. A professionally run presentation with 6 in the go to expedite the process for the 1000 racing participants attending, with the legend Ken Middleton as a ring announcer. The sale results were up 50% with a average of $23,507 from last year’s $15,294, as the cash flowed faster than a freshly tapped keg of OCTOBERFEST beer,building a solid future foundation for racing in the harness heartland ONTARIO!

    NDP BUDGET AFTERMATH ,was the flow of funds stopped, sounds like the same old same old, borrow $$$ and let the great-great-grandchildren pay for it I’m sure that Phil will update you since HRA has gone into hiding!

    MERIDIAN FARMS announces right sizing instead of downsizing I thought that was used for clothes!

    ILLINOIS gives out IOU’S for lottery winnings over $600 due to a budget impasse, and you thought cashing a parimutuel ticket or lottery ticket was tough in CANADA, think again.

    MUCKA is stepping away for awhile, to clear the air in a potential ETHICS INVESTIGATION I’m sure that Phil will continue to fill in the blanks for his loyal followers

    Good luck BREEDERS CUP betting!

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