May 032023

  mercredi 3 mai

Gimme Shelter

Bloodhorse – Angst – Derma Sotogake, Continuar Aim to Make Derby History

A man cannot divide his attention at the track between horses and women.

Pittsburgh Phil

TIF Derby Prop Contest Racing Charities

Bloodhorse – Meet the Field for the 149th Kentucky Derby

Think I’m In Love

Bloodhorse – Meet the Jockeys of the 2023 Kentucky Derby

America’s Best Racing – Ehalt – Which 2023 Kentucky Derby Runners Would Benefit from a Wet Track?

Louisville Weather

Hard Sun

Bloodhorse – Stafford – The Dirt on Kentucky Derby Mudders

Cadillac Ranch

Paulick Report – Nevills – Analysis: Which 2023 Kentucky Derby Horses Are Best Bred To Handle The Classic Distance?

The Ringer – Ruiz – What, Exactly, Is the Detroit Lions’ Plan?

Life Moves Pretty Fast. If You Don’t Stop And Look Around Once In A While, You Could Miss It.

Ferris Bueller

Who Am I


Dorth Vader, a John Ropes Florida homebred returns in the Kentucky Oaks on Friday, May 5, 2023 at Churchill Downs. The Oaks has drawn an overflow field and is one of the more competitive in recent years.  Dorth Vader is by Girvin (Tale of Ekati) out of the Yonaguska mare Hardcore Candy who was campaigned in Alberta by Darrell Landry and then Amber Buniak and Ryan McLean. Hardcore Candy won 8 races from 40 starts with 8 seconds and 4 thirds, earning $101,308. She was Stakes placed in the Freedom of the City Stakes (Black Type) at Northlands Park.

Over at Oaklawn Park Arnold Bennewith, Rick Wiest, Clayton Wiest, Lana Wiest, Randy Howg, R6 Stables (Tim Rollingson et al), Gary Kropp and Norman Tremblay’s 2022 Canadian Derby Winner Great Escape steps back up to stake company in the Lake Ouachita Stake for $150,000US on Friday May 5, 2023.  Trained by Robertino Diodoro, Francisco Arrieta will be in the saddle.

Bloodhorse – Jay Hovdey – Student of the Game Vazquez Proves Quick Study

The farther away you writers stay, the better I like it. You know why? Because you’re trying to create a bad image of me… you do it because I’m black and Puerto Rican, but I’m proud to be Puerto Rican.

Roberto Clemente

Garden and Gun – Paige N. Miller – The Most Interesting Race of Derby Week

Where It’s At

SportsNet – Luke Fox – ‘A quicker pace’: Maple Leafs dealing with a whole new animal in Round 2

Phil caught the odd glimpse of the Leafs – Panthers game while handicapping Friday’s Kentucky Oaks and a couple of sports quotes started to percolate in Phil’s mind.

If they think we’ve got an edge, we’ve got an edge.

Red Auerbach

Even the headline for Fox’s little blurb gives the edge to the whole new animal. The Panthers have invaded the Leafs’ heads and to borrow from Yogi how can the Leafs think, skate, hit and shoot at the same time. The Leafs need to take a page out of Evander Kane’s playbook and find someone to get into the Turtle’s head like Kane did in the 2022 NHL playoffs where the Turtle disappeared.

If you can’t beat ’em in the alley, you can’t beat ’em on the ice.

Conn Smythe

In the last minute of play when Sam Bennett pitchforked Ryan O’Reilly opening up a cut on O’Reilly’s face that the blind as a bat referees missed on the ice and had to go to review it seemed that the only thing the Leafs learned from Matthew Tkachuk was how to turtle. Not a single Leaf came to the aid of O’Reilly and took Bennett to task with both Tavares and Matthews standing around watching clouds float by instead of getting in Bennett’s face. And their coach was standing on the bench watching the clouds float by instead of jumping on the boards and giving the refs a piece of his mind with his Punch McLean impression.

The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his.

George S. Patton

Phil has a question:

Do the Leafs know the difference between the Lady Byng and the Conn Smythe.

Did Bobby Clarke ever win the Lady Byng.

Sports Business Journal – Brown – Politics in the desert: How the Arizona Coyotes are pushing to win a May 16 vote that would secure the team’s future in Tempe

Anvil Chorus

Back to handicapping. Friday’s Oaks and the first Saturday in May’s Derby are a couple of extremely close races. Phil uses Brisnet PPs and the first thing that Phil always does is look at the Prime Power numbers to separate the horses with a difference of 3 being Phil’s benchmark. There’s only a difference of 8.1 for the top 11 in the Oaks and 13.8 from top to bottom. When the numbers are that close anything can strike. The Derby is just as tough. Forte’s number puts him a touch above the rest, but then there’s only 14 points for the next 20. Your work is cut out for you so don’t shirk.

Look for defect in your own calculating rather than cheating of others.

Pittsburgh Phil

Paulick Report – Maday – Canterbury Park Completes Sale Of 37 Acres For Entertainment Amphitheater


Canterbury Commons

Nautilus – Kelleher – The Strange Life of Glass

Heart of Glass

Speed provides the one genuinely modern pleasure.

Aldous Huxley

The appeal of horse racing: “I really love the psychology of racing. Who starts in the lead, how you finish, holding on, watching one horse fly past another? And why it happens. Racing is really fun to me. The horses are beautiful and amazing. So there’s a lot to like with horse racing in general. Plus, I like dressing up, which is fun. So does my wife.” 

Front Office Sports – McCarthy – Insider Ian Rapoport Is Chasing NFL News and a Kentucky Derby Dream

Bohemian Rhapsody

Bloodhorse – Karen M Johnson – On the Rise: Danielle Bricker

Speed is a great asset; but it’s greater when it’s combined with quickness – and there’s a big difference.

Ty Cobb

Unchained Melody

TDN – Sherack – Tuesday’s Kentucky Derby Report: Trio of Breezers Bring the Morning ‘Thunder’

Anvil Chorus

Bloodhorse – Gregory A. Hall – NBC Sports Plans Derby Coverage for Number of Platforms

Pitch me outside, I will hit .400. Pitch me inside, and you will not find the ball. 

Roberto Clemente


Bloodhorse – Gash – Woodford Thoroughbreds Breeder of Oaks, Derby Hopefuls

Spirit in the Sky

I do not need a trophy to tell myself that I am the best.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic

Paulick Report – Rees – Albaugh’s ‘Heart Will Be A-Pumpin’ With Two Colts In Kentucky Derby

Sound and Vision

Bloodhorse – Eric Mitchell and Angst – From Eye of the Storm to the Kentucky Derby

SportsNet – Grange – Dillon Brooks went from tone-setter to free agent. Will another team take a chance?

It’s not bragging if you can back it up.

Muhammad Ali

Thoroughbred Racing Commentary – Kelly – ‘He did just what I expected’ – how the ‘Fox of Belair’ won the Kentucky Derby en route to the Triple Crown

Kentucky Derby


PP Horse Trainer Jockey Odds
1 Hit Show Brad H Cox Manuel Franco 30 – 1
2 Verifying Brad H Cox Tyler Gaffalione 15 – 1
3 Two Phil’s Larry Rivelli Jareth  Loveberry 12 – 1
4 Confidence Game Keith Desormeaux James Graham 20 – 1
5 Tapit Trice Todd Pletcher Luiz Saez 5 – 1
6 Kingsbarns Todd Pletcher Jose Ortiz 12 – 1
7 Reincarnate Tim Yakten John R Velazquez 50 – 1
8 Mage Gustavo Delgado Javier Castellano 15 – 1
9 Skinner John Shireffs Juan Hernandez 20 – 1
10 Practical Move Tim Yakten Ramon Vasquez 10 – 1
11 Disarm Steve Assmussen Joel Rosario 30 -1
12 Jace’s Road Brad H Cox Florent Geroux 15 – 1
13 Sun Thunder Ken McPeek Brian Hernandez Jr. 30 – 1
14 Angel of Empire Brad H Cox Flavien Prat 8 – 1
15 Forte Todd Pletcher Irad Ortiz Jr. 3 – 1
16 Raise Cain Ben Colebrook Gerado Corrales 50 – 1
17 Derma Sotogake (JPN) Hidetaka Otonashi Christophe Lemaire 10 – 1
18 Rocket Can William Mott Junior Alvarado 15 – 1
19 Lord Miles Joseph A Saffie Jr. Paco Lopez 15 – 1
20 Continuar Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai 50 – 1
AE Cyclone Mischief Dale Romans Joel Rosario 30 – 1
AE Mandarin Hero Terunobu Fujita Kazushi Kimura 20 – 1
AE King Russell Ron Moquett Rafael Bejarano 50 – 1

America’s Best Racing – Curry – A Beginner’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby

John Jeremiah Sullivan – Horseman Pass By_(Secretariat)

Kentucky Derby is Decadent and Depraved – Hunter_S_Thompson

Brisnet – Get to know the 2023 Kentucky Derby contenders

2023 Kentucky Derby

Saturday, May 6, 2023

2023 Kentucky Oaks

Friday, May 5, 2023

Kentucky Derby 150

Kentucky Derby 150 – Derby of A Lifetime Contest

Vote early and vote often. 

Al Capone

2023 Preakness 148 Saturday May 20, 2023

DRF – Russo – Some Kentucky Derby hopefuls now setting their sights on Preakness

TDN – Preakness 148 Offers Limited Edition Ale

2023 Belmont Stakes  Saturday June 10, 2023

Plan the Ultimate Kentucky Derby Party!

Kentucky Derby 149 Contest

XBTV – Triple Crown Trail

Haskin’s Derby Rankings: How to Find a Derby Winner… With Your Eyes

DRF – Derby Watch

Bloodhorse – Byron King – Forte on Top in Closing Derby Dozen, Shuffling Beneath

TDN – Thornton – TDN Derby Top 20: Cadence Quickens, Plot Thickens

XBTV – Jeff Siegel’s Kentucky Derby Deluxe Dozen (updated 4/14/23)

Paulick Report – Champagne – The Derby Bubble Presented By Kentucky-Breds: The Waiting Game Begins

Horse Racing Nation – Kentucky Derby 2023 Contenders

Horse Racing Nation – Shifman – Kentucky Derby 2023: Early full-field odds and analysis

Join us on Friday, May 5th, at Century Mile Racetrack and Casino. Book your tickets before April 28th.

Contact CTHS office at 403-229-3609 or visit for tickets and more information.

Phil M Stockmen

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