Apr 082025
 

ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY AND KENTUCKY OAKS


Randy Howg’s Take Charge Tom tracked the early pace while three wide, engaged the bumping along leaders while still three wide into the far turn and took command drawing away under steady late hand urging from Orlando Mojica to prevail in the Mine That Bird Derby, Sunday, April 6, 2025 going 1 1/8 miles on the dirt for $125,000US. Time for the race was 1:51.00 The race carries no Kentucky Derby qualifying points but Take Charge Tom pocketed $77,500.00US. Robertino Diodoro trainered.

Paulick Report – Heroic Move Scores Comfortably In Sunland Park Stakes For First Win Of Year


April  5

Wood Memorial Stake GII  Aqueduct $750,000 1 1/8 miles 100 – 50 – 25 – 15 – 10

UAE Derby GII Meydan $2,000,000 1,900 meters (slightly less than 1 3/16 miles) 100 – 50 – 25 – 15 – 10 Euro/Mideast Road to the Kentucky Derby

Santa Anita Derby GI Santa Anita Park $500k 1 1/8 miles 100 – 50 – 25 – 15 – 10  Five horse Field reduction 75- 37.5 – 18.5

April  8

Blue Grass Stakes GI Keeneland $1,000,000.0 1 1/8 miles 100 – 50 – 25 – 15 – 10

April is the cruelest month, breeding
Lilacs out of the dead land, mixing
Memory and desire, stirring
Dull roots with spring rain

T.S. Eliot

Baba O’Riley

Bloodhorse – Eric Mitchell – Extra Anejo Rolls to First Graded Win in Commonwealth

Paulick Report – Chelsea Hackbarth – Video: East Avenue ‘Showed Up,’ Remains Under Consideration For Kentucky Derby

Paulick Report – Joe Nevills  – Video: Wilkes Didn’t Overthink It With Blue Grass Stakes Winner Burnham Square

TDN – Steve Sherack – Put a Circle Around Burnham Square in the Blue Grass

Bloodhorse – Byron King – Burnham Square Flies to Blue Grass Victory

Bloodhorse – UAE Derby Top Two Lead Five Late Triple Crown Nominees

Paulick Report – Wood Memorial Runner-Up Grande Stamps Kentucky Derby Ticket

Bloodhorse – Eric Mitchell – La Cara Coasts To Frontrunning Ashland Victory

TDN – Jill Williams – Street Sense’s La Cara Wins Postponed Ashland at Keeneland

Paulick Report – La Cara Brings Her ‘A’ Game To Earn Kentucky Oaks Berth In Ashland

Bloodhorse – Joe Perez – Grade-1 Placed Ferocious Dies Due to Laminitis

TDN – Santa Anita Derby Handle and Attendance Post Gains; Titles for Classic Meet Awarded

Horse Race Insider – JOURNALISM PROVES BEST OUT WEST, BAFFERT SUCCESS COMES IN QUEENS NY, NOT ARCADIA CA

Bloodhorse – Journalism Doing Well After Santa Anita Derby Win

Horse Racing Nation – Ron Flatter – Scenarios: What horses need to get into Kentucky Derby & Oaks

Paulick Report – Ray Paulick – ‘An Amazing Horse’: Journalism Overcomes Trouble To Prevail In Santa Anita Derby

Bloodhorse – Tracy Gantz – Journalism Overcomes Trouble for Santa Anita Derby Win

TDN – Journalism Remains Head of the Class in Santa Anita Derby

Phil has a question:

When the gate sprung open did it look to you like the Baffert jocks had a plan.

Was the Baffert Battalion baffled.

Was the Baffert Battalion bamboozled.

Did they forget who was to go and who was to stay.

Is $3,200,000.00US a lot to pay for a popgun.

Should I Stay Or should I Go

Phil’s going to remind you or one of the oldest handicapping nuggets that AI will never figure out.

Are the Bullet works for prep or for show.

Bloodhorse – Bob Ehalt – Rodriguez Ships Cross-Country, Dominates Wood Memorial

Paulick Report – Chelsea Hackbarth – Bob Baffert, Mike Smith Earn Kentucky Derby Spot With Rodriguez In Wood Memorial

TDN – Heather Anderson – Drefong’s Admire Daytona Denies Heart Of Honor And Saffie Osborne In The UAE Derby

Admire Daytona is not Triple Crown nominated yet.

We’ll know by Tuesday if he’s Kentucky bound.

2025 Triple Crown Nomination Closing Dates:
  • First closing will be Monday, January 27, 2025 – $600 payment MUST accompany the nomination.
  • Second closing: Monday, April 7th, 2025 – $6,000 payment MUST accompany the nomination\\

Bloodhorse – Byron King – Baffert’s Tenma, Silent Law Run 1-2 in Santa Anita Oaks

Bloodhorse – Molly Rollins – Ballerina d’Oro Prevails Late in Gazelle Stakes

Paulick Report – Lynn Snierson – Ballerina d’Oro Takes Gazelle By Slimmest Margin, Punches Ticket To Kentucky Oaks

Bloodhorse – Byron King –  Crunch Time on the Road to the Kentucky Derby

Phil’s take on the Wood Memorial

Bob B. wants to hit the Kentucky Derby with a flourish so he’s sending Rodriguez as fast and as far as he can go. Mike Smith knows how to nurse a front end horse and this field doesn’t look stellar enough to catch him.

Radar Love

Phil’s take on the Santa Anita Derby

Bob B. wants to hit the Kentucky Derby with a flourish and he’d hate like hell to have the $3,200,000.00US horse riding the pine so he’s sending Barnes as fast and as far as he can go. Juan J Hernandez is no Mike Smith when it comes to nursing a horse on the front end but rumour has it that Bob B. has been teaching Citizen Bull about Roller Derby and with Martin Garcia channeling his best Bobby Clark (Phil just threw a change up to the non-Albertans) and the Bull doing his best blocking the closers may have to jump the infield fence if they want by.

Gimme Shelter

Bushwhacker

Bloodhorse – America’s Best Racing – Bob Ehalt – At a Glance: Preview of UAE Derby

Paulick Report – Full Field Of 12 Pose Tough Handicapping Challenge In Wood Memorial

Paulick Report – Chelsea Hackbarth – Weekend Lineup Presented By Sky Racing: Final Round Of 100-Point Kentucky Derby Preps

Paulick Report – The Haiku Handicapper Presented By Sky Racing World: 2025 Dubai World Cup

#1 – Forever Young
Nothing to debate
He is the world’s top racehorse
Towers over field

#2 – Hit Show
He’s found a good niche
Just below the upper crust
Ambitious spot here

#3 – Il Miracolo
Loves a Grade 3 race
This is very much not that
Needs a miracle

#4 – Imperial Emperor
Imposing local
Getting hot at the right time
Now, he tries the world

#5 – Katonah
His San Pasqual win
Looking like an outlier
On spotty record

#6 – Mixto
Teetering closer
To “one-hit wonder” status
Needs to step it up

#7 – Ramjet
Japan dirt star stuck
In Forever Young’s vortex
No signs of changing

#8 – Rattle N Roll
Always had hustle
His ceiling is the question
Never count him out

#9 – Ushba Tesoro
Won in ’23
Runner-up in ’24
Live in ’25

#10 – Walk of Stars
A Saudi Cup dud
After big Carnival meet
Welcome homecoming

#11 – Wilson Tesoro
Ran fourth here last year
Road-tested, clunkers are rare
Exotic option

Prediction
Barring a mishap
Forever Young’s much the best
Nine, eight fill the tri

Thoroughbred Racing Commentary – Ron Wood – How to bet the Dubai World Cup card: Why Forever Young cannot be opposed

Horse Race Insider – John Pricci – UPDATE FINAL: TWO OF THREE MAJOR-PREP A-B-C GRADES FOR KENTUCKY DERBY AND OAKS

Bloodhorse – Bob Ehalt – Repole Hoping for a Grande Effort in Wood Memorial

Bloodhorse – America’s Best Racing – Mike Curry – Three Heating Up: FL, AR Derbies Produce New Contenders

TDN – Keeneland Reschedules Opening Friday And Saturday Cards Due To Forecast Of Severe Weather

The first of April is the day we remember what we are the other 364 days of the year.

Mark Twain

Thoroughbred Racing Commentary –  Teresa Genaro – Wood Memorial: A namesake race, a family reunion, and the colorful legacy of Eugene Wood

Bloodhorse – Journalism Tabbed in Final Kentucky Derby Future Wager

Bloodhorse – Frank Angst – Gotham Winner Flood Zone Aims to Reign in UAE Derby

Bloodhorse – Byron King – River Thames Favored in Blue Grass; Wet Track Likely

Paulick Report – Journalism, Citizen Bull Meet For First Time In Five-Horse Santa Anita Derby

Bloodhorse – Wood Memorial Celebrates 100 Years of Greatness

Bloodhorse – Sutherland Embracing Dubai Opportunity with Super Chow

Bloodhorse – Byron King – American Promise to Prep for KY Derby in Lexington

Bloodhorse – Queen Azteca Carries Scandinavia’s Hopes in UAE Derby

Bloodhorse – Captain Cook Ready for Wood After Maintenance Work

TDN – Captain Cook Gearing Up for Wood Memorial

Bloodhorse – My Mitole Could Add Blinkers for Wood Memorial

Bloodhorse – Baffert’s Top 3-Year-Olds Work at Santa Anita Park

RACE 5 : UAE DERBY
GROUP 2 US$1,000,000 1,900m Dirt Post Time (5:50pm)
Sponsored by Jumeirah
1st: $580,000 2nd: $200,000 3rd: $100,000 4th: $50,000
5th: $30,000 6th: $20,000 7th: $10,000 8th: $10,000
FLOOD ZONE  (USA) USA Brad Cox
SHIN FOREVER (USA) Japan Hideyuki Mori
DRAGON (JPN) Japan Mikio Matsunaga
ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) Japan Yukihiro Kato
DON IN THE MOOD (JPN) Japan Teiichi Konno□
GALACTIC STAR (USA) United Arab Emirates Bhupat Seemar
HEART OF HONOR (UK) United Kingdom Jamie Osborne
ROYAL FAVOUR (GB) United Kingdom Simon & Ed Crisford
UNDEFEATED (USA) United Arab Emirates Bhupat Seemar
RAFID (USA) United Arab Emirates Doug Watson
QUEEN AZTECA (USA) Norway Niels Petersen

Bloodhorse – Bob Ehalt – Citizen Bull Training Forwardly for Santa Anita Derby

Paulick Report – Victor Ryan – ‘I’ll Know More By Next Week’: Baffert Waiting To Select Races For 3-Year-Old Quintet

Bloodhorse – Five Baffert Runners Work at Santa Anita

Bloodhorse – Sand Devil Returns to Work with Wood Memorial in Focus

TDN  – Journalism Leads Cadre Of Santa Anita Workers On Sunday

Paulick Report – ‘He’s In The Zone’: Wood Memorial Circled For Up-And-Coming Statesman

DRF – Brad Free – Kentucky Derby: Citizen Bull’s name has some moving parts

Paulick Report – Godolphin Shares Race Plans For Three Kentucky Derby Hopefuls

TDN – Gotham Winner Flood Zone to UAE Derby

Bloodhorse – Sean Collins – Remsen Winner Poster Likely Staying Home For Jeff Ruby

TDN – Citizen Bull, Baeza Work Towards Santa Anita Derby

Bloodhorse – Bob Kieckhefer – Euro/Mideast Road to KY Derby Will be Settled in Dubai

TDN – Cox Making Plans For Gotham Hero Flood Zone And Lightly-Raced Tappan Street

Bloodhorse – Santa Anita Derby ‘Most Likely Scenario’ For Journalism

Bloodhorse – Burnham Square to Target Blue Grass Stakes


Phil M. Stockmen

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